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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.84+7.61vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.46+4.12vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+3.50vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+3.91vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.70+3.88vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.01+1.68vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+4.42vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.920.00vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-1.78vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.61-0.37vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University2.31-0.22vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.17-0.44vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-5.96vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.91-2.10vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.74-2.14vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University2.12-4.53vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.35-6.43vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.69-5.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.61Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.12Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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6.5Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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8.88Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.68Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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11.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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8.0Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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9.63Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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10.78Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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11.56Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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7.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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11.9Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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12.86Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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11.47Jacksonville University2.120.0%1st Place
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10.57George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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12.86SUNY Maritime College1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lewis Cooper | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% |
| Max Clapp | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.9% |
| Jake Vickers | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.5% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 17.5% |
| Chris Kiener | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% |
| Hunter Kahler | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.