Race 1A

open-sugar-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Peter Foley 12.0% 12.1% 12.5% 13.9% 13.0% 13.5% 12.4% 8.1% 2.5%
Dylan Sih 14.6% 13.5% 13.8% 14.7% 11.6% 12.4% 10.8% 7.3% 1.3%
Kelly Holthus 21.2% 18.4% 17.4% 14.2% 12.8% 7.5% 5.5% 2.1% 0.8%
Matheo Graham-capasso 15.0% 14.2% 14.8% 13.7% 13.9% 11.6% 9.2% 5.9% 1.8%
Emma Tallman 11.9% 14.6% 13.5% 13.6% 13.4% 12.3% 10.2% 7.9% 2.6%
Charlie Herrick 6.3% 6.5% 7.3% 7.6% 9.5% 12.2% 16.1% 22.6% 12.0%
Hank Seum 11.5% 11.2% 11.9% 11.5% 12.8% 14.0% 12.4% 11.1% 3.6%
Ricky Miller 5.4% 6.8% 6.6% 7.3% 9.2% 11.8% 15.8% 21.9% 15.2%
Zachary Aronson 1.9% 2.6% 2.2% 3.5% 3.9% 4.8% 7.6% 13.1% 60.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.