Race 2B

wood

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Drew Shea 11.3% 10.3% 10.4% 11.5% 11.9% 13.0% 10.0% 8.3% 6.6% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
Elizabeth Whipple 13.8% 15.7% 13.0% 14.5% 11.8% 9.5% 9.3% 6.1% 3.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Hannah Sparkman 9.9% 7.1% 10.5% 9.7% 9.8% 9.7% 11.4% 12.1% 9.5% 5.8% 3.4% 1.1%
Matthew Schon 13.3% 15.8% 14.0% 12.2% 11.9% 10.0% 7.9% 7.2% 4.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.4%
Nicolas Russo-Larsson 20.8% 16.6% 14.6% 12.0% 12.2% 8.2% 5.6% 4.0% 3.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Robert Lippincott 6.4% 8.3% 7.3% 7.5% 8.4% 10.9% 11.7% 11.4% 10.4% 10.6% 5.1% 2.0%
Andrew Moakes 7.8% 7.7% 8.7% 8.9% 10.2% 9.6% 10.4% 10.9% 10.3% 8.7% 4.6% 2.2%
Christopher Hulse 3.2% 3.5% 3.3% 3.9% 4.7% 6.0% 7.1% 8.3% 10.1% 17.2% 18.6% 14.1%
Tom Peabody 7.5% 7.6% 11.2% 11.8% 11.0% 10.4% 11.4% 11.4% 8.6% 5.9% 2.5% 0.7%
Ted Netland 2.3% 2.4% 3.1% 2.9% 2.4% 3.8% 4.6% 7.4% 11.5% 14.1% 19.0% 26.5%
Andrea Verdeja 2.0% 2.1% 1.3% 2.9% 3.1% 5.3% 5.1% 6.2% 10.1% 14.9% 22.3% 24.7%
Jessica Hoffman 1.7% 2.9% 2.6% 2.2% 2.6% 3.6% 5.5% 6.7% 11.5% 12.5% 20.6% 27.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.