← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.84+7.66vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.35+4.56vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.46+3.15vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.61+5.27vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.74+7.72vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University2.46+3.98vs Predicted
-
7Boston College3.01+0.72vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College2.92-0.03vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University2.35+1.47vs Predicted
-
10Eckerd College2.17+1.46vs Predicted
-
11Christopher Newport University2.31-0.25vs Predicted
-
12Tulane University2.70-2.67vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-5.97vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-1.61vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-7.77vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Maritime College1.69-2.86vs Predicted
-
17Old Dominion University1.91-4.58vs Predicted
-
18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-10.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.66Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
-
6.56Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
6.15Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
-
9.27Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
-
12.72Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
-
9.98Jacksonville University2.460.0%1st Place
-
7.72Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
-
7.97Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
-
10.47George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
-
11.46Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
-
10.75Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
-
9.33Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
-
7.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
-
12.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
-
7.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
-
13.14SUNY Maritime College1.690.0%1st Place
-
12.42Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
-
7.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 17.0% |
| Telmo Basterra | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Max Clapp | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 7.3% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Jake Vickers | 9.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Welker | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 15.5% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Hunter Kahler | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 19.8% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 14.7% |
| Lewis Cooper | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.