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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+5.59vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+6.16vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.46+3.10vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.01+3.62vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+2.16vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.61+3.40vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.17+4.18vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78+4.61vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.74+3.89vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.70-0.77vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.91+1.39vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-4.37vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.92-5.10vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.35-3.89vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University2.31-4.41vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University2.46-5.93vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.84-8.53vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.69-5.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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6.1Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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7.62Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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7.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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9.4Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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11.18Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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12.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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12.89Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.23Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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12.39Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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7.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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7.9Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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10.11George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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10.59Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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10.07Jacksonville University2.460.0%1st Place
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8.47Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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12.92SUNY Maritime College1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Agerup | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 9.7% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Jake Vickers | 8.8% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 7.3% |
| Luke Welker | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 14.1% | 17.2% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 16.9% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 16.2% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Max Clapp | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.0% |
| Telmo Basterra | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Hunter Kahler | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.