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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+5.54vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.74+11.13vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University2.31+7.83vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+3.16vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.84+3.29vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+1.92vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.01+0.61vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.92-0.06vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.70-0.12vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.35+0.66vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.91+1.30vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.61-2.34vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-6.00vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University2.12-2.96vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.46-9.11vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.17-4.80vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-4.15vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.88-5.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.54Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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13.13Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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10.83Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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7.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.29Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.92St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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7.61Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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7.94Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.88Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
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10.66George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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12.3Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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9.66Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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7.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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11.04Jacksonville University2.120.0%1st Place
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5.89Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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11.2Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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12.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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12.1SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Agerup | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 18.6% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Lewis Cooper | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Max Clapp | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.3% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 13.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Jake Vickers | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Chris Kiener | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% |
| Luke Welker | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 18.4% |
| Cormac Murphy | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.