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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+6.47vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+5.34vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.46+3.06vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.01+3.58vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.61+4.26vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.91+6.26vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.35+3.40vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.92-0.03vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.35-2.80vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-1.79vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University2.31-0.27vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University2.12-0.31vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.70-4.26vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.84-5.94vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.74-2.19vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-3.20vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College1.88-4.56vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.17-7.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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7.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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6.06Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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7.58Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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9.26Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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12.26Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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10.4George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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7.97Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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6.2Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.21St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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10.73Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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11.69Jacksonville University2.120.0%1st Place
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8.74Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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8.06Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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12.81Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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12.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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12.44SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
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10.99Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Schoenherr | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Jake Vickers | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 11.1% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 14.4% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% |
| Max Clapp | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lewis Cooper | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% |
| Chris Kiener | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.4% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.1% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 16.7% |
| Luke Welker | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 17.3% |
| Cormac Murphy | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 14.5% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.