← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+7.21vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.84+6.66vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.92+5.37vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+3.24vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+2.17vs Predicted
-
6Boston College3.01+1.68vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University2.46+3.03vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College2.17+3.14vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.74+3.93vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University3.46-3.81vs Predicted
-
11Boston University3.35-4.49vs Predicted
-
12SUNY Maritime College1.88+0.72vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-0.42vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University2.61-4.86vs Predicted
-
15Christopher Newport University2.31-4.38vs Predicted
-
16Tulane University2.70-6.91vs Predicted
-
17George Washington University2.35-6.37vs Predicted
-
18Old Dominion University1.91-5.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.21St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
-
8.66Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
-
8.37Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
-
7.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
-
7.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
-
7.68Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
-
10.03Jacksonville University2.460.0%1st Place
-
11.14Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
-
12.93Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
-
6.19Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
-
6.51Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
12.72SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
-
12.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
-
9.14Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
-
10.62Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
-
9.09Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
-
10.63George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
-
12.1Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Cooper | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Henry Burnes | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Max Clapp | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Jake Vickers | 8.6% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Telmo Basterra | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.4% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 17.7% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Cormac Murphy | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 19.1% |
| Luke Welker | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 17.6% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.