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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.01+6.98vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+6.17vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.84+5.66vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.46+6.02vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78+7.57vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.35+4.49vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.46-1.01vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-0.88vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.70-0.05vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.92-1.63vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University2.31-0.15vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.61-2.19vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.74-0.24vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.91-2.06vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-7.75vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.35-9.55vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.17-5.59vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.88-5.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.98Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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8.17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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8.66Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.02Jacksonville University2.460.0%1st Place
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12.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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10.49George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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5.99Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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7.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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8.95Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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8.37Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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10.85Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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9.81Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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12.76Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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11.94Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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7.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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6.45Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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11.41Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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12.2SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack DeNatale | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Telmo Basterra | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% |
| Luke Welker | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 18.7% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 12.7% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jake Vickers | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Max Clapp | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 6.4% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 18.9% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 12.4% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% |
| Cormac Murphy | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.