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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+5.75vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+5.64vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.46+3.18vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.70+4.99vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.92+3.15vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.01+1.82vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.84+1.51vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-0.78vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78+3.88vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.46+0.43vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.61-1.31vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.74+1.30vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-5.04vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.88-1.88vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.17-3.70vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.74-7.00vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.91-4.50vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University2.31-7.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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6.18Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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8.99Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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8.15Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.82Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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8.51Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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12.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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10.43Jacksonville University2.460.1%1st Place
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9.69Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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13.3Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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12.12SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
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11.3Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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9.0George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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12.5Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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10.56Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Agerup | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Max Clapp | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Jake Vickers | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% |
| Luke Welker | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 15.6% |
| Telmo Basterra | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 14.5% | 23.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Cormac Murphy | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 13.6% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% |
| Michael Ehnot | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 14.7% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.