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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+5.76vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.92+6.41vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.46+3.21vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.74+8.83vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.01+2.77vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.46+4.16vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.70+2.14vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-0.69vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.84-0.53vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.91+2.63vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.74-1.91vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-3.49vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University2.31-2.40vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.17-2.96vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.61-5.57vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-3.03vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College1.88-4.38vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-10.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.76Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.41Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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6.21Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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12.83Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.77Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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10.16Jacksonville University2.460.0%1st Place
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9.14Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.47Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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12.63Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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9.09George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.51St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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10.6Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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11.04Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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9.43Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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12.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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12.62SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
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7.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Agerup | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Max Clapp | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 16.2% | 17.8% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Telmo Basterra | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 15.1% |
| Michael Ehnot | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Lewis Cooper | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Luke Welker | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 19.6% |
| Cormac Murphy | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 16.9% |
| Jake Vickers | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.