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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.04+3.91vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.89+3.39vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.02+5.61vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.34vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.40+2.25vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.80-0.33vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.75+2.61vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.28-0.28vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.74+0.39vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.09-1.85vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.14+0.86vs Predicted
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12McGill University1.58-1.52vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.28-5.72vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-0.93vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.18-3.41vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-0.13-0.12vs Predicted
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17Harvard University0.61-3.36vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering-0.37-1.48vs Predicted
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19Middlebury College-0.14-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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5.39Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.61Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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7.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.1%1st Place
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7.25Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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5.67University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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9.61Roger Williams University1.750.0%1st Place
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7.72Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.39Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.15Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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11.86Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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10.48McGill University1.580.0%1st Place
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7.28University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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13.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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11.59Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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15.88Bentley University-0.130.0%1st Place
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13.64Harvard University0.610.0%1st Place
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16.52Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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15.62Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Murphy | 13.9% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 13.0% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| John Ped | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Harden | 12.4% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chase Reynolds | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Davies | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Sam Tobin | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Edward Coleman | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 3.8% |
| Carter Brock | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Dane Phippen | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 22.0% | 24.9% |
| Matthew Dickey | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 8.0% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 17.6% | 35.7% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 22.2% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.