Race 3B

wood

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Drew Shea 11.8% 9.4% 11.1% 12.0% 12.0% 10.8% 10.7% 9.1% 5.7% 4.6% 2.3% 0.5%
Nicolas Russo-Larsson 18.0% 18.2% 15.1% 14.8% 10.1% 8.9% 6.9% 3.9% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Elizabeth Whipple 16.1% 13.2% 14.2% 11.8% 12.6% 10.8% 9.2% 6.2% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Andrew Moakes 6.2% 6.2% 9.3% 9.5% 9.4% 11.5% 10.9% 10.9% 8.8% 9.5% 5.8% 2.0%
Matthew Schon 14.2% 15.0% 14.2% 11.3% 11.2% 11.7% 7.2% 5.8% 5.3% 2.6% 1.3% 0.2%
Robert Lippincott 6.5% 8.3% 7.5% 6.5% 10.3% 9.9% 11.5% 10.7% 11.6% 9.0% 6.3% 1.9%
Christopher Hulse 2.8% 3.8% 2.6% 4.2% 5.4% 5.4% 7.7% 8.2% 10.8% 16.7% 16.5% 15.9%
Hannah Sparkman 10.1% 9.0% 9.4% 10.2% 10.6% 9.4% 10.7% 11.1% 9.4% 6.1% 2.2% 1.8%
Tom Peabody 8.2% 8.9% 10.1% 10.8% 10.8% 10.8% 10.3% 11.7% 9.2% 6.1% 2.6% 0.5%
Jessica Hoffman 2.4% 2.4% 2.6% 3.5% 2.5% 3.6% 4.9% 8.6% 11.2% 14.6% 19.3% 24.4%
Andrea Verdeja 1.9% 2.5% 1.5% 2.8% 3.1% 4.2% 5.1% 7.5% 9.8% 14.7% 22.0% 24.9%
Ted Netland 1.8% 3.1% 2.4% 2.6% 2.0% 3.0% 4.9% 6.3% 11.6% 13.5% 21.0% 27.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.