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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.89+4.40vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.42vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.04+1.95vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.28+3.47vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.02+3.70vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.80-0.33vs Predicted
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7Harvard University0.61+6.77vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.40-0.72vs Predicted
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9McGill University1.58+1.05vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.74-0.52vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.09-2.72vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.75-2.22vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.18-1.47vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-0.13+1.99vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.14-3.28vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-3.11vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.28-9.55vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering-0.37-1.47vs Predicted
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19Middlebury College-0.14-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.4Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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7.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.1%1st Place
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4.95Brown University3.040.2%1st Place
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7.47Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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8.7Boston University2.020.0%1st Place
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5.67University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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13.77Harvard University0.610.0%1st Place
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7.28Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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10.05McGill University1.580.0%1st Place
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9.48Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.28Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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9.78Roger Williams University1.750.0%1st Place
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11.53Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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15.99Bentley University-0.130.0%1st Place
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11.72Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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12.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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7.45University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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16.53Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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15.66Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 10.8% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Ped | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 15.6% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Davies | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Harden | 14.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Dickey | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 6.9% |
| Talia Toland | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Edward Coleman | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Sam Tobin | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Chase Reynolds | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Carter Brock | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Dane Phippen | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 22.8% | 26.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 2.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 20.0% | 34.3% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 15.4% | 20.3% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.