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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University1.58+9.17vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.04+2.94vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.89+2.47vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.02+4.56vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.80+0.87vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.39vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.09+1.27vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.75+1.76vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.28-1.62vs Predicted
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10Harvard University0.61+3.67vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.14+0.88vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+1.25vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.40-6.15vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.18-2.16vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.28-7.60vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.74-6.62vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-0.13-1.22vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering-0.37-1.48vs Predicted
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19Middlebury College-0.14-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.17McGill University1.580.0%1st Place
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4.94Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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5.47Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.56Boston University2.020.0%1st Place
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5.87University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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7.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.1%1st Place
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8.27Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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9.76Roger Williams University1.750.0%1st Place
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7.38Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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13.67Harvard University0.610.0%1st Place
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11.88Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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13.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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6.85Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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11.84Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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7.4University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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9.38Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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15.78Bentley University-0.130.0%1st Place
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16.52Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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15.62Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Coleman | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Jack Murphy | 14.9% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 13.1% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Harden | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Ped | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Tobin | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Chase Reynolds | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Davies | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Dickey | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 6.6% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 4.2% |
| Talia Toland | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Carter Brock | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 1.0% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Dane Phippen | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 22.3% | 24.2% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 19.0% | 36.1% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 20.6% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.