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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51+5.74vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.02+6.63vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.09+5.37vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.40+3.09vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.30+2.67vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.80-0.32vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.04-2.12vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.28-0.27vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.75+0.45vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-0.13+5.85vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.75-1.35vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.28-4.23vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.18-1.33vs Predicted
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14McGill University1.58-3.59vs Predicted
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15Harvard University0.61-1.36vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-0.14-0.06vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-3.97vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.74-8.44vs Predicted
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19Olin College of Engineering-0.37-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.1%1st Place
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8.63Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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8.37Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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7.09Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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7.67Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.68University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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4.88Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.73University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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9.45Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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15.85Bentley University-0.130.0%1st Place
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9.65Roger Williams University1.750.0%1st Place
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7.77Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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11.67Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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10.41McGill University1.580.0%1st Place
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13.64Harvard University0.610.0%1st Place
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15.94Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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13.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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9.56Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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16.26Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crew Fritsch | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Sam Tobin | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Talia Toland | 7.2% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Foster | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Harden | 13.4% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 14.6% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Slack | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Dane Phippen | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 14.2% | 21.1% | 25.8% |
| Chase Reynolds | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Davies | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carter Brock | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Edward Coleman | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Dickey | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 11.4% | 9.0% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 15.2% | 22.3% | 25.4% |
| Stephen Poirier | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 4.3% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 21.9% | 31.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.