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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.40+6.13vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.28+5.62vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.80+2.74vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.30+3.46vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51+1.89vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.74+3.62vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.75+2.68vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.02+0.79vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18+2.63vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.04-5.26vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.09-2.69vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.28-4.16vs Predicted
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13McGill University1.58-2.88vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-0.79vs Predicted
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15Harvard University0.61-1.29vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-0.14-0.09vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-0.13-1.15vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering-0.37-1.48vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University1.75-9.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.13Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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7.62University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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5.74University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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7.46Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.1%1st Place
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9.62Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.68Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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8.79Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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11.63Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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4.74Brown University3.040.2%1st Place
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8.31Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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7.84Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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10.12McGill University1.580.0%1st Place
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13.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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13.71Harvard University0.610.0%1st Place
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15.91Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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15.85Bentley University-0.130.0%1st Place
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16.52Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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9.21Roger Williams University1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Toland | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Harden | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Foster | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Crew Fritsch | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Kelsey Slack | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Carter Brock | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Jack Murphy | 15.2% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Davies | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Edward Coleman | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Stephen Poirier | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 3.8% |
| Matthew Dickey | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 8.1% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 15.6% | 22.6% | 24.2% |
| Dane Phippen | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 21.0% | 24.9% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 20.2% | 34.7% |
| Chase Reynolds | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.