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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.09+7.30vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.80+3.74vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.28+4.63vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.75+5.69vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.74+4.86vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18+5.70vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.40+0.10vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.02+0.78vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.04-4.21vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.28-2.61vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.75-1.37vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.30-4.27vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51-6.58vs Predicted
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14McGill University1.58-3.58vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-2.09vs Predicted
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16Harvard University0.61-2.30vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-0.14-1.08vs Predicted
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18Bentley University-0.13-1.97vs Predicted
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19Olin College of Engineering-0.37-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.3Yale University2.090.0%1st Place
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5.74University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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7.63University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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9.69Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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9.86Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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11.7Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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7.1Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.78Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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4.79Brown University3.040.2%1st Place
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7.39Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.63Roger Williams University1.750.0%1st Place
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7.73Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.1%1st Place
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10.42McGill University1.580.0%1st Place
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12.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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13.7Harvard University0.610.0%1st Place
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15.92Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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16.03Bentley University-0.130.0%1st Place
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16.27Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Tobin | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Harden | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Carter Brock | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Talia Toland | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jack Murphy | 16.9% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Davies | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chase Reynolds | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Rachel Foster | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Crew Fritsch | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Coleman | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Stephen Poirier | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 4.7% |
| Matthew Dickey | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 5.9% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 9.2% | 16.5% | 19.8% | 26.6% |
| Dane Phippen | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 15.6% | 20.9% | 26.1% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 20.8% | 32.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.