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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.40+6.18vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.28+5.61vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.18+8.86vs Predicted
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4McGill University1.58+6.33vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51+1.89vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.74+3.55vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.75+2.63vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.30-0.34vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.04-4.17vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.02-1.54vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.75-1.37vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.80-6.10vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.28-5.76vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-0.75vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.13+0.76vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.09-7.82vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-0.14-1.08vs Predicted
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18Harvard University0.61-4.16vs Predicted
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19Olin College of Engineering-0.37-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.18Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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7.61University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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11.86Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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10.33McGill University1.580.0%1st Place
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6.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.1%1st Place
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9.55Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.63Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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7.66Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.83Brown University3.040.2%1st Place
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8.46Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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9.63Roger Williams University1.750.0%1st Place
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5.9University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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7.24Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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13.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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15.76Bentley University-0.130.0%1st Place
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8.18Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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15.92Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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13.84Harvard University0.610.0%1st Place
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16.28Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Toland | 6.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Carter Brock | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Edward Coleman | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Crew Fritsch | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Kelsey Slack | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Foster | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 17.1% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Chase Reynolds | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Harden | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Davies | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 4.6% |
| Dane Phippen | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 20.4% | 26.2% |
| Sam Tobin | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 21.6% | 26.4% |
| Matthew Dickey | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 7.1% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 22.9% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.