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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.28+6.57vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.40+5.13vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.04+1.97vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+7.89vs Predicted
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5McGill University1.58+5.54vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51+0.62vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.75+2.68vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.80-2.16vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.02-0.60vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.74-0.44vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.30-3.52vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.28-4.23vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.09-4.96vs Predicted
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14Harvard University0.61+0.03vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.13+0.77vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.75-6.54vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-0.14-1.09vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-4.94vs Predicted
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19Olin College of Engineering-0.37-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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7.13Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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4.97Brown University3.040.2%1st Place
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11.89Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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10.54McGill University1.580.0%1st Place
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6.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.1%1st Place
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9.68Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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5.84University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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8.4Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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9.56Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.48Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.77Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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8.04Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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14.03Harvard University0.610.0%1st Place
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15.77Bentley University-0.130.0%1st Place
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9.46Roger Williams University1.750.0%1st Place
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15.91Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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13.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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16.27Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael O'Flaherty | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Talia Toland | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 15.2% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Brock | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Edward Coleman | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Crew Fritsch | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Slack | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Harden | 11.7% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Foster | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Davies | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Dickey | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 7.3% |
| Dane Phippen | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 20.0% | 26.7% |
| Chase Reynolds | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 20.3% | 27.4% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 4.6% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 13.9% | 22.5% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.