Race 2A

open-sugar-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Peter Foley 12.3% 12.2% 13.4% 13.2% 13.8% 12.4% 12.2% 8.2% 2.1%
Kelly Holthus 20.7% 21.2% 16.0% 13.9% 11.9% 8.9% 5.0% 2.0% 0.4%
Dylan Sih 14.0% 14.0% 14.3% 13.7% 11.8% 12.8% 10.0% 7.2% 2.2%
Matheo Graham-capasso 15.7% 13.6% 14.2% 15.0% 12.5% 11.1% 10.1% 5.9% 2.0%
Emma Tallman 12.7% 12.2% 14.6% 14.2% 13.7% 12.3% 10.2% 7.8% 2.3%
Charlie Herrick 6.5% 7.5% 6.5% 7.9% 10.7% 11.5% 16.7% 20.5% 12.2%
Hank Seum 10.4% 10.9% 11.5% 11.2% 13.5% 14.9% 12.8% 11.2% 3.6%
Ricky Miller 5.6% 6.6% 7.6% 8.2% 8.3% 12.3% 15.2% 22.0% 14.1%
Zachary Aronson 2.2% 1.8% 1.8% 2.8% 3.9% 3.8% 7.9% 15.0% 60.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.