Race 4B

wood

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Drew Shea 11.7% 10.5% 10.6% 11.3% 12.6% 12.4% 9.9% 8.1% 5.6% 4.3% 2.5% 0.5%
Matthew Schon 14.0% 15.5% 13.4% 13.8% 11.9% 9.1% 8.0% 7.1% 4.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Hannah Sparkman 8.5% 8.4% 10.4% 10.0% 9.4% 10.5% 11.6% 12.2% 8.3% 6.4% 2.9% 1.4%
Christopher Hulse 2.0% 2.3% 3.4% 4.3% 3.9% 6.3% 7.6% 9.0% 13.0% 14.3% 16.9% 17.0%
Nicolas Russo-Larsson 19.1% 18.4% 14.7% 12.3% 11.7% 8.6% 6.6% 3.6% 2.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Robert Lippincott 7.0% 7.5% 7.4% 7.6% 9.6% 9.6% 11.1% 12.3% 11.5% 8.8% 5.6% 2.0%
Andrew Moakes 8.0% 7.8% 9.1% 9.4% 7.9% 10.9% 10.5% 10.1% 10.3% 8.6% 5.5% 1.9%
Ted Netland 1.2% 2.7% 3.1% 3.6% 3.7% 4.6% 5.2% 6.5% 9.7% 13.2% 20.3% 26.2%
Andrea Verdeja 2.1% 2.2% 2.0% 3.0% 4.1% 3.7% 6.2% 8.4% 10.6% 15.7% 19.8% 22.2%
Tom Peabody 9.0% 8.4% 9.9% 10.1% 10.1% 9.7% 10.8% 9.6% 10.0% 7.2% 4.0% 1.2%
Jessica Hoffman 2.2% 2.1% 1.6% 2.1% 3.9% 4.6% 4.2% 6.1% 10.6% 14.9% 20.6% 27.1%
Elizabeth Whipple 15.2% 14.2% 14.4% 12.5% 11.2% 10.0% 8.3% 7.0% 3.6% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.