← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University2.02+6.86vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.40+4.66vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont2.80+2.39vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.04+0.69vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51+1.16vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University0.61+6.89vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.28+0.12vs Predicted
-
8Yale University2.28-1.00vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+3.22vs Predicted
-
10Yale University2.09-2.35vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College1.75-1.99vs Predicted
-
12McGill University1.58-2.45vs Predicted
-
13Middlebury College-0.14+1.54vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.18-2.94vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University1.74-5.96vs Predicted
-
16Brown University2.30-8.92vs Predicted
-
17Olin College of Engineering-0.37-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.86Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
-
6.66Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
-
5.39University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
-
4.69Brown University3.040.2%1st Place
-
6.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.1%1st Place
-
12.89Harvard University0.610.0%1st Place
-
7.12University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
-
7.0Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
-
12.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
-
7.65Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
-
9.01Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
-
9.55McGill University1.580.0%1st Place
-
14.54Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
-
11.06Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
-
9.04Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
-
7.08Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
-
15.09Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond Groble IV | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Talia Toland | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Harden | 11.6% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 17.3% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Crew Fritsch | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Dickey | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 18.4% | 10.9% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Davies | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 6.3% |
| Sam Tobin | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Kelsey Slack | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Edward Coleman | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 14.3% | 24.7% | 32.4% |
| Carter Brock | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 2.5% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Rachel Foster | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 20.1% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.