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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.16+5.84vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.22+4.63vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.07+4.19vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.11+2.93vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.67+3.84vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.38+3.78vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.88+0.89vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+1.10vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.68-0.51vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.06-3.03vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.22-4.49vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.83+0.51vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering0.46+0.30vs Predicted
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14Harvard University1.64-5.05vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09+0.11vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College0.80-3.85vs Predicted
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17McGill University0.41-3.38vs Predicted
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18Bentley University0.35-4.07vs Predicted
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19Middlebury College-0.17-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.84Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.63Yale University2.220.1%1st Place
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7.19Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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6.93University of Vermont2.110.1%1st Place
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8.84Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
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9.78Salve Regina University1.380.1%1st Place
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7.89Brown University1.880.1%1st Place
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9.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.1%1st Place
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8.49University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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6.97Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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6.51Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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12.51Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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13.3Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
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8.95Harvard University1.640.1%1st Place
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15.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.090.0%1st Place
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12.15Bowdoin College0.800.0%1st Place
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13.62McGill University0.410.0%1st Place
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13.93Bentley University0.350.0%1st Place
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15.25Middlebury College-0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryutaro Sochi | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Catherine "B" Lindsay | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Connell Phillipps | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Anthony Root | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Severin Gramm | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Alex Abate | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Nannig | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| George Higham | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jed Bell | 9.4% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adeline Schoen | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 4.4% |
| Colin Snow | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 9.0% |
| Tyler Masuyama | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Seth Pardi | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 27.8% |
| Hattie Slayton | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 4.6% |
| Nathan Drezner | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.5% |
| Sarah Alix | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 13.1% |
| Abigail Wright | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 17.1% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.