← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.88+6.85vs Predicted
-
2Boston University2.07+5.22vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+5.91vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.16+2.71vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.06+2.31vs Predicted
-
6Yale University2.22+0.55vs Predicted
-
7McGill University0.41+6.74vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont2.11-0.86vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University1.64-0.30vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University0.83+2.11vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College0.80+1.23vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island1.68-3.04vs Predicted
-
13Yale University1.67-4.58vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University1.38-3.97vs Predicted
-
15Middlebury College-0.17+0.37vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-0.69vs Predicted
-
17Olin College of Engineering0.46-3.59vs Predicted
-
18Bentley University0.35-4.13vs Predicted
-
19Brown University2.22-12.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.85Brown University1.880.1%1st Place
-
7.22Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
-
8.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.1%1st Place
-
6.71Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
-
7.31Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
-
6.55Yale University2.220.1%1st Place
-
13.74McGill University0.410.0%1st Place
-
7.14University of Vermont2.110.1%1st Place
-
8.7Harvard University1.640.1%1st Place
-
12.11Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
-
12.23Bowdoin College0.800.0%1st Place
-
8.96University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
-
8.42Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
-
10.03Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
-
15.37Middlebury College-0.170.0%1st Place
-
15.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.090.0%1st Place
-
13.41Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
-
13.87Bentley University0.350.0%1st Place
-
6.16Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Severin Gramm | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
| Alex Abate | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Higham | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Catherine "B" Lindsay | 10.6% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Drezner | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 10.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Masuyama | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Adeline Schoen | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Hattie Slayton | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
| Kyle Nannig | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Anthony Root | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Abigail Wright | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 30.5% |
| Seth Pardi | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 18.4% | 25.0% |
| Colin Snow | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 10.6% |
| Sarah Alix | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 12.1% |
| Jed Bell | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.