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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+7.79vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.07+5.17vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.22+3.65vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.68+4.64vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.38+5.19vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.11+0.89vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.16-0.29vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.06-0.59vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.83+2.92vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.67-1.43vs Predicted
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11McGill University0.41+2.73vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering0.46+1.88vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College0.80-0.96vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.22-7.39vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.64-6.31vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-0.17-0.41vs Predicted
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17Bentley University0.35-3.21vs Predicted
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18Brown University1.88-10.27vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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7.17Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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6.65Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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8.64University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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10.19Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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6.89University of Vermont2.110.1%1st Place
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6.71Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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7.41Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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11.92Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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8.57Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
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13.73McGill University0.410.0%1st Place
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13.88Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
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12.04Bowdoin College0.800.0%1st Place
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6.61Yale University2.220.1%1st Place
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8.69Harvard University1.640.1%1st Place
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15.59Middlebury College-0.170.0%1st Place
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13.79Bentley University0.350.0%1st Place
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7.73Brown University1.880.1%1st Place
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14.99Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Abate | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Micky Munns | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jed Bell | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Nannig | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Anthony Root | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 10.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Higham | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Adeline Schoen | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Drezner | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 12.3% |
| Colin Snow | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 12.0% |
| Hattie Slayton | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 4.3% |
| Catherine "B" Lindsay | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Masuyama | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Abigail Wright | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 17.2% | 29.9% |
| Sarah Alix | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 12.7% |
| Severin Gramm | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Seth Pardi | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.