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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.16+5.69vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.94+5.57vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.07+4.12vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.22+2.43vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.22+1.64vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.11+0.79vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.68+1.62vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.17+7.63vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.64-0.49vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.67-1.54vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+4.16vs Predicted
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12McGill University0.41+1.98vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.12-2.34vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.06-6.80vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.83-3.09vs Predicted
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16Bentley University0.35-2.21vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.78-4.85vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.38-8.37vs Predicted
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19Olin College of Engineering0.46-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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7.57Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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7.12Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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6.43Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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6.64Yale University2.220.1%1st Place
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6.79University of Vermont2.110.1%1st Place
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8.62University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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15.63Middlebury College-0.170.0%1st Place
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8.51Harvard University1.640.1%1st Place
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8.46Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
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15.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
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13.98McGill University0.410.0%1st Place
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10.66Bowdoin College1.120.0%1st Place
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7.2Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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11.91Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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13.79Bentley University0.350.0%1st Place
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12.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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9.63Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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13.08Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryutaro Sochi | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 10.1% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jed Bell | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Catherine "B" Lindsay | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Nannig | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Abigail Wright | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 17.5% | 31.4% |
| Tyler Masuyama | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 18.5% | 21.9% |
| Nathan Drezner | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 11.6% |
| John Seider | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| George Higham | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adeline Schoen | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% |
| Sarah Alix | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 13.2% |
| Dahlia Dry | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 3.9% |
| Anthony Root | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Colin Snow | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.