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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.94+6.55vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.64+6.75vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.78+9.26vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.22+2.47vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.22+1.61vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.67+2.52vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.17+8.51vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.11-0.87vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.16-2.41vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+4.99vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.07-4.04vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.38-1.89vs Predicted
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13Bentley University0.35+0.61vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.41-0.22vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.06-7.99vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.68-7.61vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.83-5.01vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College1.12-7.29vs Predicted
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19Olin College of Engineering0.46-5.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.55Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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8.75Harvard University1.640.1%1st Place
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12.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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6.47Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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6.61Yale University2.220.1%1st Place
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8.52Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
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15.51Middlebury College-0.170.0%1st Place
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7.13University of Vermont2.110.1%1st Place
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6.59Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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14.99Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
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6.96Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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10.11Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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13.61Bentley University0.350.0%1st Place
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13.78McGill University0.410.0%1st Place
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7.01Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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11.99Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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10.71Bowdoin College1.120.0%1st Place
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13.07Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Hannon | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Masuyama | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Dahlia Dry | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% |
| Jed Bell | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Catherine "B" Lindsay | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Abigail Wright | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 17.2% | 31.2% |
| Connell Phillipps | 10.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 10.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 17.7% | 23.6% |
| Micky Munns | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Anthony Root | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Alix | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 11.7% |
| Nathan Drezner | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 11.6% |
| George Higham | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Nannig | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Adeline Schoen | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 4.1% |
| John Seider | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Colin Snow | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.