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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.16+5.67vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.38+7.85vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.22+3.48vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.78+8.24vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.07+2.22vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.11+0.80vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.94+0.57vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.22-1.35vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.12+1.67vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.64-1.40vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.67-2.41vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-0.17+3.86vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+1.92vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.83-1.81vs Predicted
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15Bentley University0.35-1.36vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.68-7.65vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.06-9.99vs Predicted
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18McGill University0.41-4.42vs Predicted
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19Olin College of Engineering0.46-5.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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9.85Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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6.48Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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12.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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7.22Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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6.8University of Vermont2.110.1%1st Place
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7.57Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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6.65Yale University2.220.1%1st Place
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10.67Bowdoin College1.120.0%1st Place
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8.6Harvard University1.640.1%1st Place
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8.59Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
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15.86Middlebury College-0.170.0%1st Place
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14.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
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12.19Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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13.64Bentley University0.350.0%1st Place
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8.35University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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7.01Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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13.58McGill University0.410.0%1st Place
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13.11Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryutaro Sochi | 7.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Root | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Jed Bell | 11.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dahlia Dry | 1.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 4.0% |
| Micky Munns | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 11.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Catherine "B" Lindsay | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| John Seider | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Tyler Masuyama | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Abigail Wright | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 19.4% | 31.7% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 16.8% | 22.9% |
| Adeline Schoen | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 4.6% |
| Sarah Alix | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 14.0% |
| Kyle Nannig | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| George Higham | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Drezner | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.2% |
| Colin Snow | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.