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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.11+5.87vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.22+4.51vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.94+4.56vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.16+2.65vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.67+3.81vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.22+0.42vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.12+3.90vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.83+4.25vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.64-0.41vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.78+2.08vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.38-1.18vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+3.40vs Predicted
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13Bentley University0.35+0.61vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-0.17+1.58vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.06-8.03vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.07-9.12vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.68-8.47vs Predicted
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18McGill University0.41-4.53vs Predicted
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19Olin College of Engineering0.46-5.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.87University of Vermont2.110.1%1st Place
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6.51Yale University2.220.1%1st Place
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7.56Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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6.65Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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8.81Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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6.42Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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10.9Bowdoin College1.120.0%1st Place
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12.25Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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8.59Harvard University1.640.1%1st Place
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12.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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9.82Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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15.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
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13.61Bentley University0.350.0%1st Place
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15.58Middlebury College-0.170.0%1st Place
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6.97Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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6.88Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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8.53University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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13.47McGill University0.410.0%1st Place
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13.09Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connell Phillipps | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Catherine "B" Lindsay | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jed Bell | 11.5% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| John Seider | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Adeline Schoen | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% |
| Tyler Masuyama | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Dahlia Dry | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| Anthony Root | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 17.6% | 26.6% |
| Sarah Alix | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 10.7% |
| Abigail Wright | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 17.8% | 29.1% |
| George Higham | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Nannig | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Drezner | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.3% |
| Colin Snow | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.