Race 5B

wood

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Drew Shea 11.0% 10.7% 11.2% 11.4% 11.7% 12.4% 9.5% 8.8% 6.1% 4.7% 2.1% 0.4%
Elizabeth Whipple 13.5% 16.8% 13.8% 13.6% 11.5% 9.2% 8.7% 5.6% 4.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Nicolas Russo-Larsson 19.6% 16.1% 16.1% 12.5% 12.5% 8.7% 6.8% 4.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Robert Lippincott 5.9% 6.3% 9.7% 8.1% 9.8% 9.7% 11.7% 10.1% 12.8% 8.1% 5.6% 2.2%
Christopher Hulse 2.3% 3.1% 3.3% 3.9% 4.9% 6.4% 6.6% 8.7% 11.2% 14.2% 18.2% 17.2%
Hannah Sparkman 8.9% 9.3% 8.8% 8.3% 11.2% 11.2% 12.1% 11.4% 8.3% 5.9% 3.8% 0.8%
Andrew Moakes 8.8% 7.4% 8.4% 9.7% 9.3% 9.2% 9.2% 12.2% 11.2% 8.3% 4.0% 2.3%
Tom Peabody 9.6% 8.3% 9.2% 10.9% 9.4% 9.4% 11.6% 10.1% 9.4% 6.5% 4.4% 1.2%
Ted Netland 2.1% 1.8% 1.7% 2.6% 3.0% 4.7% 6.3% 7.5% 11.5% 14.4% 19.4% 25.0%
Matthew Schon 14.1% 15.8% 13.0% 13.9% 10.9% 11.1% 7.5% 6.7% 4.1% 1.8% 1.0% 0.1%
Jessica Hoffman 2.2% 1.9% 1.7% 2.8% 3.5% 3.9% 4.6% 7.2% 9.3% 16.8% 20.3% 25.8%
Andrea Verdeja 2.0% 2.5% 3.1% 2.3% 2.3% 4.1% 5.4% 7.4% 9.8% 15.9% 20.4% 24.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.