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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.22+5.44vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.94+5.59vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.16+3.74vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.67+4.58vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.11+2.01vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.07+0.96vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.22-0.62vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.06-0.74vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.68-0.62vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.12+0.78vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.64-2.29vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+3.45vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.83-1.16vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.38-4.14vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.78-2.89vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-0.17-0.45vs Predicted
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17Bentley University0.35-3.28vs Predicted
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18McGill University0.41-4.46vs Predicted
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19Olin College of Engineering0.46-5.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.44Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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7.59Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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6.74Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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8.58Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
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7.01University of Vermont2.110.1%1st Place
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6.96Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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6.38Yale University2.220.1%1st Place
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7.26Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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8.38University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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10.78Bowdoin College1.120.0%1st Place
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8.71Harvard University1.640.1%1st Place
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15.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
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11.84Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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9.86Salve Regina University1.380.1%1st Place
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12.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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15.55Middlebury College-0.170.0%1st Place
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13.72Bentley University0.350.0%1st Place
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13.54McGill University0.410.0%1st Place
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13.1Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Bell | 8.3% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Connell Phillipps | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Catherine "B" Lindsay | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Higham | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Nannig | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| John Seider | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Masuyama | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 18.4% | 25.6% |
| Adeline Schoen | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 3.6% |
| Anthony Root | 5.0% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Dahlia Dry | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% |
| Abigail Wright | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 29.1% |
| Sarah Alix | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 12.5% |
| Nathan Drezner | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 10.1% |
| Colin Snow | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.