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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.94+6.29vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.11+4.72vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.68+5.42vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.67+4.41vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.38+4.86vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.64+2.39vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.22-0.74vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.22-1.57vs Predicted
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9McGill University0.41+4.20vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.07-3.36vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.12-0.37vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.78+0.36vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.16-6.79vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-0.17+1.51vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.13-4.54vs Predicted
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16Bentley University0.35-2.39vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.83-5.25vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-3.04vs Predicted
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19Olin College of Engineering0.46-6.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.29Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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6.72University of Vermont2.110.1%1st Place
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8.42University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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8.41Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
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9.86Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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8.39Harvard University1.640.1%1st Place
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6.26Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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6.43Yale University2.220.1%1st Place
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13.2McGill University0.410.0%1st Place
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6.64Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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10.63Bowdoin College1.120.0%1st Place
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12.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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6.21Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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15.51Middlebury College-0.170.0%1st Place
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10.46Roger Williams University1.130.0%1st Place
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13.61Bentley University0.350.0%1st Place
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11.75Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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14.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
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12.9Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Hannon | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Nannig | 6.9% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Anthony Root | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Masuyama | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Jed Bell | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Catherine "B" Lindsay | 10.5% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Drezner | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 10.8% |
| Micky Munns | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Seider | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Dahlia Dry | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Wright | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 30.4% |
| Grace Woodcock | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Sarah Alix | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 11.8% |
| Adeline Schoen | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 24.3% |
| Colin Snow | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.