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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.02+3.58vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.36+1.70vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.73+2.30vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.98+0.72vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.94-0.09vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.94-1.17vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth0.19+2.79vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.75+0.23vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-0.18+1.92vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.57-1.18vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-1.45vs Predicted
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12McGill University-0.36-0.40vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-0.18-1.87vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.12-1.97vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-8.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58University of Rhode Island2.020.1%1st Place
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3.7Brown University2.360.2%1st Place
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5.3University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
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4.72Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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4.91Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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4.83University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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9.79University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth0.190.0%1st Place
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8.23Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
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10.92University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.82Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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9.55Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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11.6McGill University-0.360.0%1st Place
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11.13Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
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13.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.120.0%1st Place
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8.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylie Castellano | 13.7% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 20.3% | 19.2% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Champney | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 14.1% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schryver | 11.5% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Addison Stead | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 5.0% |
| Allison DeLuca | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 11.3% |
| Ben Palmer | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| John Holt | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 4.2% |
| Noah Adams Tyshynski | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 18.3% | 16.8% |
| Hanna Mass | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 12.8% |
| Jacob Philbrook | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 18.2% | 44.2% |
| Maya Stephani | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.