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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.02+3.60vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.98+2.58vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.94+1.79vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.94+0.83vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.36-1.11vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.73-0.64vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.75+1.21vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.57+0.77vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-0.02vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth0.19-0.08vs Predicted
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11McGill University-0.36+0.38vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-2.19vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.12+0.15vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-0.18-3.12vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.18-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6University of Rhode Island2.020.1%1st Place
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4.58Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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4.79University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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4.83Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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3.89Brown University2.360.2%1st Place
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5.36University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
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8.21Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
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8.77Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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8.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth0.190.0%1st Place
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11.38McGill University-0.360.0%1st Place
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9.81Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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13.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.120.0%1st Place
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10.88Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
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10.86University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylie Castellano | 14.0% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 12.6% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schryver | 13.6% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 14.5% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 18.1% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Champney | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Allison DeLuca | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Ben Palmer | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Maya Stephani | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Addison Stead | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 5.6% |
| Noah Adams Tyshynski | 1.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 18.0% | 16.6% |
| John Holt | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 3.6% |
| Jacob Philbrook | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 16.4% | 47.7% |
| Hanna Mass | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 10.4% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.