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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.94+3.80vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.98+2.61vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.94+1.76vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.36-0.20vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.02-0.31vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.73-0.64vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.75+1.18vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-0.18+2.91vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth0.19+0.82vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-0.96vs Predicted
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12McGill University-0.36-0.60vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-3.21vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.57-5.03vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-0.18-4.13vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.12-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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4.61Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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4.76Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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3.8Brown University2.360.2%1st Place
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4.69University of Rhode Island2.020.1%1st Place
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5.36University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
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8.18Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
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10.91University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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9.82University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth0.190.0%1st Place
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9.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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11.4McGill University-0.360.0%1st Place
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9.79Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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8.97Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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10.87Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
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12.99Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schryver | 12.9% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 12.3% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 13.2% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 20.7% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kylie Castellano | 13.1% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Champney | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Allison DeLuca | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 12.1% |
| Addison Stead | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 4.0% |
| Maya Stephani | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Noah Adams Tyshynski | 1.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 16.7% |
| John Holt | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 4.4% |
| Ben Palmer | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Hanna Mass | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 10.6% |
| Jacob Philbrook | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 16.0% | 45.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.