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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.98+3.75vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.73+3.31vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.94+1.83vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.02+0.62vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29+4.52vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.36-2.18vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.57+1.70vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.94-3.15vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth0.19+0.83vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-0.93vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-0.18-0.08vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.12+1.21vs Predicted
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15McGill University-0.36-3.49vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-0.18-5.14vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.75-8.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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5.31University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
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4.83University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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4.62University of Rhode Island2.020.2%1st Place
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9.52Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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3.82Brown University2.360.2%1st Place
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8.7Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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4.85Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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9.83University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth0.190.0%1st Place
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9.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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10.92University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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13.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.120.0%1st Place
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11.51McGill University-0.360.0%1st Place
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10.86Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.2Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Holder | 13.1% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Champney | 9.0% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schryver | 13.5% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kylie Castellano | 15.4% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Holt | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 4.6% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 18.0% | 17.9% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Wells Drayton | 12.2% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Addison Stead | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 4.2% |
| Maya Stephani | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 17.2% | 12.5% |
| Jacob Philbrook | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 17.0% | 47.5% |
| Noah Adams Tyshynski | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 20.8% | 15.1% |
| Hanna Mass | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 10.8% |
| Allison DeLuca | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.