← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.94+3.77vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.98+2.60vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island2.02+1.53vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University0.57+4.72vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island1.73+0.46vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University0.75+2.25vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.36-3.20vs Predicted
-
8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth0.19+1.90vs Predicted
-
9Middlebury College-0.18+1.92vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University1.94-6.09vs Predicted
-
12University of Connecticut-0.18-1.06vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-3.81vs Predicted
-
14McGill University-0.36-2.49vs Predicted
-
15Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-5.49vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.12-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.77University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
-
4.6Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
-
4.53University of Rhode Island2.020.1%1st Place
-
8.72Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
-
5.46University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
-
8.25Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
-
3.8Brown University2.360.2%1st Place
-
9.9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth0.190.0%1st Place
-
10.92Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
-
4.91Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
-
10.94University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
-
9.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
-
11.51McGill University-0.360.0%1st Place
-
9.51Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
-
12.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schryver | 13.7% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 13.8% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kylie Castellano | 14.6% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Zachary Champney | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Allison DeLuca | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 19.7% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Addison Stead | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 4.7% |
| Hanna Mass | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 9.1% |
| Wells Drayton | 11.6% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 13.7% |
| Maya Stephani | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 2.1% |
| Noah Adams Tyshynski | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 19.7% | 16.8% |
| John Holt | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 6.6% | 3.7% |
| Jacob Philbrook | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 15.7% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.