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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.57+7.35vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.08+2.19vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.10+3.93vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.94+0.68vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.73+0.29vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.02-1.46vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.21-0.65vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29+1.10vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth0.19-0.50vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-0.18-0.47vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-3.27vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.36-9.22vs Predicted
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15McGill University-0.36-4.25vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.12-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.35Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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4.19Tufts University2.080.2%1st Place
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6.93Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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4.68University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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5.29University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
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4.54University of Rhode Island2.020.1%1st Place
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6.35Tufts University1.210.1%1st Place
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9.1Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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9.5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth0.190.0%1st Place
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10.53Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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3.78Brown University2.360.2%1st Place
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10.75McGill University-0.360.0%1st Place
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12.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Palmer | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 2.7% |
| Bryan Trammell | 16.7% | 16.4% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Schryver | 12.6% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Champney | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Kylie Castellano | 13.7% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Sidamon-Eristoff | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| John Holt | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 6.0% |
| Addison Stead | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 6.1% |
| Hanna Mass | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 16.9% | 19.0% | 14.2% |
| Maya Stephani | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 3.9% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 18.5% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Adams Tyshynski | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 20.9% | 17.2% |
| Jacob Philbrook | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 16.7% | 49.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.