Race 3A

open-sugar-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Peter Foley 12.8% 12.8% 11.9% 12.3% 13.6% 13.4% 11.8% 8.1% 3.2%
Dylan Sih 15.3% 13.6% 13.8% 13.4% 13.7% 12.1% 10.4% 6.2% 1.6%
Hank Seum 11.1% 10.9% 11.2% 13.3% 11.7% 13.8% 13.9% 10.2% 3.9%
Kelly Holthus 20.4% 19.4% 16.7% 14.3% 12.8% 8.0% 5.3% 2.4% 0.7%
Emma Tallman 13.9% 13.9% 13.9% 12.4% 12.0% 12.0% 11.4% 7.6% 2.8%
Matheo Graham-capasso 13.3% 14.8% 15.5% 14.6% 13.4% 11.6% 8.4% 6.3% 2.1%
Charlie Herrick 6.1% 6.0% 8.3% 8.5% 9.8% 12.2% 14.9% 22.6% 11.5%
Zachary Aronson 1.4% 1.8% 2.1% 3.7% 3.6% 5.3% 7.7% 15.0% 59.3%
Ricky Miller 5.7% 6.6% 6.5% 7.4% 9.3% 11.7% 16.2% 21.6% 15.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.