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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.05+4.10vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.56+1.81vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.33+1.36vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy1.62+4.64vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.54+1.31vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.59+0.25vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-1.40vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.32+1.19vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.74-3.32vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College1.29-0.76vs Predicted
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11Brandeis University1.35-1.63vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University3.31-7.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.1Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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3.81Tufts University3.560.2%1st Place
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4.36Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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8.64Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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6.31Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.25University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
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5.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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9.19Northeastern University1.320.0%1st Place
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5.68Bowdoin College2.740.1%1st Place
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9.24Middlebury College1.290.0%1st Place
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9.37Brandeis University1.350.0%1st Place
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4.44Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Shea | 12.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 19.2% | 17.6% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 14.7% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Hulse | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 16.3% |
| Robert Lippincott | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Andrew Moakes | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Hannah Sparkman | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Jessica Hoffman | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 19.7% | 25.2% |
| Tom Peabody | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Ted Netland | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 21.7% | 25.2% |
| Andrea Verdeja | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 16.1% | 20.6% | 26.0% |
| Matthew Schon | 14.6% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.