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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.57+3.71vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.69+2.48vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.10+0.55vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.18+1.83vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.99+1.25vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.06+0.14vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.16-1.11vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.76-3.77vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19+0.29vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.43+0.03vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36+1.19vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-1.01-0.52vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-1.76vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.47-2.53vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.49-1.52vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-1.56-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
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4.48Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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3.55Northeastern University2.100.2%1st Place
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5.83University of Rhode Island1.180.1%1st Place
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6.25Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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6.14University of Rhode Island1.060.1%1st Place
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5.89Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
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4.23Tufts University1.760.2%1st Place
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9.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
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10.03McGill University-0.430.0%1st Place
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12.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
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11.48University of Connecticut-1.010.0%1st Place
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12.24Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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12.47Middlebury College-1.470.0%1st Place
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14.48University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.490.0%1st Place
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12.75Fairfield University-1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Palardy | 12.8% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William George | 13.7% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clinton Hegarty | 21.9% | 17.9% | 16.6% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Haviland | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Johnson | 6.7% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 15.5% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Braun | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Ayden Watt | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 8.9% |
| Colby Brennan | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 5.1% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 9.0% |
| Julia Fairbank | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 11.9% |
| Liam Harkins | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 10.8% | 17.5% | 51.4% |
| Anastasia Mastrocola | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 19.1% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.