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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.57+3.69vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.16+3.75vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.10+0.59vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.99+2.36vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.76-0.64vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.69-1.43vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+5.29vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19+1.27vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.06-2.98vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.43+0.02vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.18-5.30vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.49+2.41vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36-1.75vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-1.01-3.65vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-1.47-3.43vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-1.56-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
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5.75Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
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3.59Northeastern University2.100.2%1st Place
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6.36Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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4.36Tufts University1.760.1%1st Place
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4.57Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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12.29Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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9.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
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6.02University of Rhode Island1.060.1%1st Place
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10.02McGill University-0.430.0%1st Place
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5.7University of Rhode Island1.180.1%1st Place
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14.41University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.490.0%1st Place
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12.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
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11.35University of Connecticut-1.010.0%1st Place
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12.57Middlebury College-1.470.0%1st Place
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12.8Fairfield University-1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Palardy | 12.7% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clinton Hegarty | 21.3% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 14.5% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William George | 12.7% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 17.1% | 10.2% |
| Tucker Braun | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Johnson | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ayden Watt | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Meghan Haviland | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Harkins | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 16.3% | 49.3% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 9.2% |
| Colby Brennan | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 4.7% |
| Julia Fairbank | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 18.5% | 11.2% |
| Anastasia Mastrocola | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 17.6% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.