Race 5B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Patrick Mulcahy 15.6% 14.7% 13.1% 13.0% 14.5% 8.6% 7.8% 7.1% 3.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William George 13.5% 15.1% 13.4% 12.2% 10.6% 10.8% 9.3% 7.6% 4.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Clinton Hegarty 22.5% 17.3% 15.7% 13.4% 11.3% 9.1% 5.0% 3.2% 1.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Johnson 5.7% 7.4% 10.4% 8.2% 9.1% 10.8% 12.5% 11.3% 10.4% 7.6% 4.3% 1.8% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Pearl Lattanzi 8.1% 7.9% 8.9% 10.5% 10.4% 12.1% 10.5% 12.5% 8.1% 5.9% 3.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Palardy 11.1% 12.2% 14.3% 13.2% 10.8% 9.9% 10.0% 7.5% 5.8% 2.7% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elena Gonick 7.4% 7.8% 6.7% 7.4% 9.9% 10.0% 11.2% 13.3% 11.5% 8.0% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Eddy 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 1.9% 2.4% 3.0% 4.9% 7.0% 9.9% 11.2% 14.4% 15.6% 16.5% 8.8%
Meghan Haviland 9.2% 7.8% 9.3% 11.1% 10.9% 10.0% 12.2% 9.1% 9.4% 6.1% 3.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Julia Fairbank 0.5% 0.5% 1.2% 0.6% 1.5% 2.1% 1.3% 2.3% 3.6% 5.1% 8.5% 10.7% 14.3% 18.8% 17.7% 11.3%
Ayden Watt 2.0% 2.1% 1.8% 2.6% 3.7% 3.7% 4.9% 5.9% 9.4% 12.9% 17.2% 13.2% 10.2% 6.1% 3.4% 0.9%
Tucker Braun 1.6% 2.9% 2.8% 3.3% 2.8% 5.6% 6.6% 6.9% 11.8% 15.9% 12.1% 11.9% 8.4% 5.3% 1.3% 0.8%
Liam Harkins 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 1.5% 2.7% 3.8% 6.2% 7.4% 9.1% 15.7% 50.9%
Colby Brennan 0.9% 1.6% 0.6% 1.6% 1.4% 1.8% 2.8% 4.4% 7.7% 8.8% 12.3% 16.1% 14.2% 12.2% 9.1% 4.5%
Kennard MacVaugh 0.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 2.0% 1.3% 3.2% 3.9% 6.0% 9.3% 12.2% 15.6% 16.3% 17.0% 9.1%
Anastasia Mastrocola 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 1.1% 1.6% 2.3% 3.6% 6.2% 7.6% 12.1% 13.8% 16.2% 19.1% 13.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.