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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.69+3.42vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.10+1.57vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.06+3.06vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.57+0.82vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.76-0.63vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.18-0.17vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.43+2.97vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.99-1.81vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.16-3.20vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19-1.59vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-1.01-0.60vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-0.73vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University-1.56-1.36vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36-2.80vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.49-1.53vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-1.47-4.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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3.57Northeastern University2.100.2%1st Place
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6.06University of Rhode Island1.060.1%1st Place
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4.82University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
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4.37Tufts University1.760.1%1st Place
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5.83University of Rhode Island1.180.1%1st Place
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9.97McGill University-0.430.0%1st Place
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6.19Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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5.8Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
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9.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
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11.4University of Connecticut-1.010.0%1st Place
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12.27Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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12.64Fairfield University-1.560.0%1st Place
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12.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
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14.47University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.490.0%1st Place
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12.59Middlebury College-1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William George | 15.0% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clinton Hegarty | 22.8% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Johnson | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Palardy | 10.9% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 14.5% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Haviland | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ayden Watt | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Elena Gonick | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Braun | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Colby Brennan | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 9.8% | 4.2% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 17.5% | 9.8% |
| Anastasia Mastrocola | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 18.6% | 12.9% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 12.3% | 10.3% |
| Liam Harkins | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 18.1% | 50.6% |
| Julia Fairbank | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 18.7% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.