Race 7B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Clinton Hegarty 23.3% 19.9% 15.4% 12.8% 9.2% 6.9% 6.3% 4.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlotte Lenz 12.7% 12.5% 13.3% 11.2% 11.1% 11.6% 7.3% 9.2% 6.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Palardy 12.8% 12.2% 12.2% 12.4% 12.1% 11.8% 11.2% 6.8% 3.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Johnson 6.3% 7.3% 10.4% 7.8% 10.7% 10.7% 10.5% 12.4% 9.9% 7.2% 4.8% 1.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Meghan Haviland 9.1% 7.9% 9.7% 11.2% 10.8% 11.0% 11.4% 10.6% 8.3% 5.4% 2.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grant Adam 12.0% 13.9% 13.5% 14.2% 11.4% 10.4% 8.5% 7.4% 4.6% 2.5% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pearl Lattanzi 9.5% 8.5% 7.4% 10.6% 10.0% 10.5% 10.3% 12.0% 10.2% 6.2% 3.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Elena Gonick 7.1% 7.9% 9.0% 8.9% 10.7% 10.2% 11.4% 10.7% 9.7% 8.0% 4.1% 1.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Tucker Braun 2.3% 2.5% 3.3% 2.3% 3.7% 5.0% 6.4% 7.5% 11.3% 14.2% 16.9% 10.6% 7.2% 4.1% 1.9% 0.8%
Julia Fairbank 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 1.4% 1.6% 2.0% 1.6% 3.3% 5.5% 9.1% 10.9% 14.4% 18.4% 17.2% 11.4%
Kennard MacVaugh 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 2.4% 1.9% 4.5% 6.8% 9.8% 11.3% 14.6% 16.1% 16.6% 9.1%
Ayden Watt 1.2% 2.6% 2.2% 2.2% 3.2% 3.9% 5.4% 5.4% 10.6% 14.0% 13.1% 14.6% 10.4% 6.3% 4.2% 0.7%
Anastasia Mastrocola 0.7% 0.4% 0.5% 1.0% 0.4% 1.4% 1.7% 2.5% 4.6% 5.2% 8.2% 11.6% 14.1% 15.7% 18.2% 13.8%
Jack Eddy 0.2% 1.4% 0.6% 1.2% 1.7% 1.4% 1.6% 3.5% 4.2% 7.1% 8.6% 15.0% 13.4% 16.7% 15.3% 8.1%
Colby Brennan 1.3% 1.4% 0.5% 1.3% 1.6% 1.7% 3.3% 3.4% 5.6% 9.3% 12.6% 14.5% 17.0% 12.4% 9.0% 5.1%
Liam Harkins 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 1.5% 2.3% 3.3% 5.0% 6.4% 10.0% 17.6% 51.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.