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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.64+3.50vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.18+3.77vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.57+1.75vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.52+1.00vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.16+0.68vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.10-2.33vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.06-0.87vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19+1.50vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-1.56+4.49vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+2.85vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-1.47+2.15vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36+0.86vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.49+2.25vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-1.01-2.95vs Predicted
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16McGill University-0.43-5.65vs Predicted
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17Bates College-0.88-5.39vs Predicted
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18Tufts University0.99-11.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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5.77University of Rhode Island1.180.1%1st Place
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4.75University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
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5.0Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.68Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
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3.67Northeastern University2.100.2%1st Place
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6.13University of Rhode Island1.060.1%1st Place
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9.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
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13.49Fairfield University-1.560.0%1st Place
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12.85Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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13.15Middlebury College-1.470.0%1st Place
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12.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
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15.25University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.490.0%1st Place
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12.05University of Connecticut-1.010.0%1st Place
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10.35McGill University-0.430.0%1st Place
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11.61Bates College-0.880.0%1st Place
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6.41Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Adam | 14.4% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Haviland | 9.4% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Palardy | 12.9% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 12.7% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clinton Hegarty | 20.0% | 18.0% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Johnson | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Braun | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Anastasia Mastrocola | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 14.5% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 7.7% |
| Julia Fairbank | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 16.6% | 11.4% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 9.3% |
| Liam Harkins | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 17.5% | 49.4% |
| Colby Brennan | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 3.8% |
| Ayden Watt | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Sam Michael | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 3.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 5.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.