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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.21+1.90vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.16+1.59vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.18vs Predicted
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4Columbia University0.44+0.13vs Predicted
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5Fordham University-0.32+0.53vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.97+0.74vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.52-1.34vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9Cornell University1.2126.0%1st Place
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3.59University of Pennsylvania1.1617.5%1st Place
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4.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.2911.5%1st Place
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4.13Columbia University0.4412.2%1st Place
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5.53Fordham University-0.325.1%1st Place
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6.74Princeton University-0.973.0%1st Place
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5.66SUNY Maritime College-0.525.0%1st Place
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3.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9219.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilda Dondona | 26.0% | 22.6% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Adra Ivancich | 17.5% | 16.8% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 11.5% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 3.5% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 12.2% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 3.0% |
| Anna Robertson | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 17.8% | 23.6% | 17.4% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 17.8% | 53.7% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 17.9% | 24.9% | 19.1% |
| Deana Fedulova | 19.8% | 19.1% | 19.5% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.