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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.23+3.68vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.36+2.27vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.56+0.84vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.54+2.31vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.33-0.59vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.59+0.20vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-1.82vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy1.62+0.35vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.32+0.04vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.74-4.29vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.29-1.75vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University0.34-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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4.27Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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3.84Tufts University3.560.2%1st Place
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6.31Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.41Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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6.2University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
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5.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.1%1st Place
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8.35Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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9.04Northeastern University1.320.0%1st Place
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5.71Bowdoin College2.740.1%1st Place
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9.25Middlebury College1.290.0%1st Place
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10.76Brandeis University0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Rice | 13.2% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 14.4% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 18.2% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 14.4% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Moakes | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Katii Gullick | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Hulse | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 18.9% | 17.2% | 9.6% |
| Jessica Hoffman | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 20.1% | 22.6% | 13.8% |
| Tom Peabody | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Ted Netland | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 17.0% | 25.0% | 17.9% |
| Jeremy Siegel | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 20.1% | 55.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.