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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.60+3.22vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.02+1.48vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.19-0.13vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.26+0.87vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.35-0.26vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.34-1.58vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.82-1.37vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.83-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22University of South Florida1.6011.8%1st Place
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3.48Tulane University2.0219.1%1st Place
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2.87Stanford University2.1927.3%1st Place
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4.87College of Charleston1.269.0%1st Place
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4.74Tulane University1.3510.3%1st Place
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4.42Tulane University1.3412.0%1st Place
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5.63Jacksonville University0.825.3%1st Place
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5.76University of South Florida0.835.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kay Brunsvold | 11.8% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 6.6% |
Samantha Gardner | 19.1% | 18.4% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
Sophie Fisher | 27.3% | 21.6% | 18.4% | 15.2% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
Emily Alfortish | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 15.0% |
Oakley Cunningham | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 11.2% |
Lucy Spearman | 12.0% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 7.5% |
Agija Elerte | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 18.4% | 26.1% |
Grace Jones | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.