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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.43+3.87vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.39+3.02vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.50+5.34vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.83+3.14vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+4.54vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.20+3.69vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+0.34vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.50+0.14vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.58-0.77vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.75-2.74vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.71-3.33vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.78-1.01vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.23-3.52vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.59-5.92vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.72-0.88vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.39-3.61vs Predicted
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17McGill University0.52-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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5.02Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.34Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
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7.14Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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9.69University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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7.34Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.14Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.23Roger Williams University2.580.0%1st Place
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7.26Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.67Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.99Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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9.48University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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8.08Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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14.12Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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12.39Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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14.7McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 17.2% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Arnone | 14.3% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Paul | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Richie Gordon | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 2.0% |
| Christian Moffitt | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| David Wood | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Casey Cabot | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Alex Fasolo | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 4.6% |
| Cameron Nash | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Thomas Walden | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Mott Blair | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 12.1% | 21.8% | 32.3% |
| Caroline King | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 11.0% |
| Adele DesBrisay | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 20.3% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.