Race 5A

hewitt

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Cameron Wood 6.6% 5.9% 7.2% 6.7% 6.2% 6.7% 5.4% 6.9% 7.0% 6.6% 7.5% 8.0% 7.0% 5.7% 4.1% 2.4% 0.1%
Teddy Nicolosi 15.7% 12.9% 12.3% 10.4% 10.7% 8.4% 7.4% 6.1% 5.9% 3.0% 3.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Luke Arnone 13.3% 13.7% 12.1% 9.8% 9.2% 8.4% 9.0% 6.6% 5.6% 4.7% 3.2% 1.5% 1.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Thomas Walden 6.8% 6.8% 5.2% 6.8% 6.2% 5.2% 6.9% 8.0% 7.7% 9.0% 8.1% 5.7% 6.1% 5.5% 3.6% 2.1% 0.3%
David Wood 5.9% 8.0% 6.9% 5.2% 7.0% 6.7% 7.7% 8.3% 7.3% 5.7% 7.7% 5.3% 5.9% 6.1% 3.4% 2.4% 0.5%
Ansgar Jordan 7.2% 8.0% 6.4% 8.3% 8.8% 7.2% 8.0% 7.1% 6.9% 6.9% 6.2% 6.5% 4.7% 4.5% 2.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Caroline King 2.0% 1.4% 2.5% 2.9% 2.4% 2.8% 3.1% 3.1% 2.9% 4.1% 4.8% 6.6% 6.5% 12.1% 15.3% 16.5% 11.0%
Richie Gordon 4.5% 4.2% 4.6% 6.4% 4.9% 5.6% 5.0% 5.5% 5.5% 5.2% 6.6% 9.2% 8.2% 9.0% 7.3% 6.5% 1.8%
Caleb Niles 1.9% 1.9% 3.9% 3.1% 3.4% 3.9% 3.4% 5.2% 5.1% 6.1% 5.4% 7.8% 9.2% 9.8% 13.8% 11.4% 4.7%
Casey Cabot 6.5% 8.5% 6.8% 8.4% 8.0% 7.6% 8.4% 6.3% 7.2% 7.8% 6.6% 5.7% 5.0% 2.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.5%
Mott Blair 1.1% 0.7% 1.7% 1.2% 1.1% 1.9% 1.8% 1.9% 1.7% 2.5% 1.8% 3.6% 4.4% 7.2% 12.2% 21.8% 33.4%
Dylan Ascencios 7.8% 7.4% 7.4% 7.6% 6.9% 9.4% 6.8% 7.3% 6.3% 6.6% 6.3% 6.9% 4.3% 3.6% 3.1% 1.9% 0.4%
James Paul 5.9% 5.2% 4.8% 5.1% 6.1% 7.9% 7.4% 7.2% 6.7% 6.6% 8.7% 7.4% 7.7% 4.9% 4.4% 3.1% 0.9%
Alex Fasolo 6.6% 6.7% 7.5% 7.3% 7.6% 6.4% 6.4% 7.6% 7.5% 7.5% 7.3% 5.5% 7.0% 4.7% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Cameron Nash 4.0% 5.7% 5.1% 4.0% 5.4% 4.9% 6.4% 5.0% 6.5% 7.2% 7.1% 8.0% 9.5% 8.4% 6.7% 4.3% 1.8%
Christian Moffitt 3.7% 2.7% 4.6% 6.1% 4.7% 5.8% 5.6% 6.4% 8.2% 7.7% 6.9% 7.6% 7.8% 7.7% 8.3% 4.3% 1.9%
Adele DesBrisay 0.5% 0.3% 1.0% 0.7% 1.4% 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% 2.0% 2.8% 2.7% 2.5% 4.0% 6.5% 9.0% 20.1% 42.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.