Race 8A

hewitt

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Alex Fasolo 7.5% 7.6% 8.4% 6.9% 7.5% 6.8% 7.6% 7.7% 7.6% 7.5% 6.3% 6.6% 5.6% 4.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Teddy Nicolosi 14.5% 15.1% 10.5% 11.1% 10.3% 8.9% 7.1% 6.7% 4.9% 4.4% 3.1% 1.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam Morrell 9.4% 9.8% 10.8% 9.5% 7.3% 7.8% 7.9% 8.2% 7.5% 6.2% 6.3% 3.4% 2.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Thomas Walden 6.8% 6.2% 5.9% 6.6% 6.1% 6.0% 7.8% 6.4% 8.4% 8.4% 7.3% 8.8% 5.5% 5.0% 3.1% 1.7% 0.0%
Luke Arnone 15.2% 13.3% 12.2% 11.0% 9.9% 10.2% 5.7% 5.5% 3.8% 4.2% 3.3% 2.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Caleb Niles 2.5% 2.3% 2.6% 3.2% 3.0% 3.9% 4.9% 4.9% 5.0% 5.8% 6.4% 8.2% 10.0% 12.0% 13.2% 9.1% 3.0%
David Wood 6.1% 6.2% 5.5% 5.4% 6.7% 6.8% 7.9% 8.3% 9.0% 7.6% 8.3% 5.7% 6.5% 5.3% 2.8% 1.8% 0.1%
Richie Gordon 4.6% 3.4% 4.9% 6.1% 6.6% 4.6% 5.3% 4.9% 5.7% 5.7% 8.9% 7.6% 9.0% 9.3% 8.1% 4.2% 1.1%
Ansgar Jordan 6.0% 7.9% 7.4% 7.5% 8.6% 9.3% 7.5% 8.4% 7.7% 5.5% 6.4% 6.0% 5.4% 4.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Dylan Ascencios 6.9% 7.4% 8.2% 8.1% 8.3% 7.8% 8.2% 6.5% 6.4% 7.6% 8.3% 5.6% 3.9% 4.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.4%
Adele DesBrisay 1.2% 0.8% 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% 1.9% 1.4% 1.8% 1.7% 3.5% 4.7% 7.4% 15.5% 24.1% 30.4%
Christian Moffitt 4.2% 3.9% 5.6% 4.7% 4.9% 4.6% 5.6% 6.6% 6.3% 7.5% 7.8% 8.3% 9.7% 8.6% 6.2% 4.8% 0.7%
Cameron Nash 4.8% 4.1% 3.9% 4.0% 4.8% 5.1% 6.8% 6.5% 7.0% 7.8% 6.7% 9.6% 8.2% 8.8% 6.8% 3.9% 1.2%
Payton Thompson 4.7% 5.4% 6.2% 7.0% 6.8% 6.7% 5.9% 5.8% 7.9% 6.9% 6.5% 9.5% 8.6% 7.2% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4%
Mott Blair 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 1.0% 1.5% 1.9% 2.1% 2.2% 2.6% 2.9% 4.4% 6.5% 7.4% 17.2% 23.2% 22.8%
Cameron Wood 4.4% 5.2% 5.6% 6.3% 6.0% 8.0% 7.2% 8.2% 7.9% 7.7% 7.3% 6.8% 6.2% 7.2% 4.2% 1.3% 0.5%
Gregory Dillon 0.4% 0.2% 0.6% 0.4% 1.0% 0.7% 1.2% 1.4% 1.3% 2.8% 2.5% 2.0% 3.6% 6.4% 13.8% 22.5% 39.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.