Race 8B

wood

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nicolas Russo-Larsson 17.1% 16.8% 17.1% 12.1% 11.1% 10.8% 6.8% 4.4% 2.5% 1.2% 0.0% 0.1%
Robert Lippincott 5.9% 6.9% 8.7% 8.6% 9.9% 9.4% 11.2% 12.5% 13.1% 9.1% 3.8% 0.9%
Katii Gullick 10.8% 9.3% 9.9% 10.8% 12.1% 10.3% 11.6% 12.6% 6.7% 4.0% 1.7% 0.2%
Kyle Carney 14.4% 16.1% 13.7% 12.0% 11.5% 11.4% 8.6% 5.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Tyler Rice 13.6% 13.6% 12.7% 12.8% 11.6% 10.6% 9.1% 8.0% 3.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.1%
Christopher Hulse 2.4% 2.8% 2.8% 5.0% 4.0% 5.4% 6.5% 8.3% 14.2% 19.6% 18.6% 10.4%
Andrew Moakes 7.2% 8.7% 8.4% 8.0% 10.2% 10.9% 10.8% 11.3% 12.1% 8.1% 3.0% 1.3%
Elizabeth Whipple 17.0% 14.5% 11.6% 14.5% 10.9% 10.6% 9.3% 4.8% 4.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Ted Netland 1.5% 1.5% 2.3% 2.4% 3.6% 4.5% 5.4% 9.0% 13.0% 16.8% 26.0% 14.0%
Jeremy Siegel 0.5% 0.2% 1.8% 1.5% 1.9% 1.8% 1.6% 2.6% 4.5% 10.2% 16.6% 56.8%
Tom Peabody 7.9% 7.3% 8.2% 9.9% 10.2% 10.7% 12.3% 13.5% 10.2% 6.1% 3.1% 0.6%
Jessica Hoffman 1.7% 2.3% 2.8% 2.4% 3.0% 3.6% 6.8% 7.1% 11.9% 18.2% 24.8% 15.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.