Race 4A

open-sugar-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Kelly Holthus 20.8% 20.4% 18.4% 14.2% 10.7% 8.5% 4.5% 2.2% 0.2%
Emma Tallman 12.7% 13.6% 14.1% 13.2% 12.6% 12.5% 11.2% 8.2% 1.9%
Matheo Graham-capasso 14.4% 13.6% 13.9% 14.6% 13.2% 12.4% 9.8% 6.5% 1.6%
Peter Foley 13.2% 12.2% 12.8% 11.7% 13.5% 13.9% 11.6% 8.2% 2.9%
Hank Seum 11.0% 12.0% 12.1% 12.6% 12.7% 13.0% 13.0% 10.1% 3.6%
Ricky Miller 5.9% 6.4% 6.7% 8.3% 9.3% 10.0% 15.8% 22.6% 15.1%
Charlie Herrick 6.2% 6.3% 6.2% 9.2% 9.8% 12.6% 16.6% 21.1% 12.0%
Zachary Aronson 1.8% 1.8% 2.2% 3.2% 4.2% 4.8% 7.2% 14.1% 60.7%
Dylan Sih 13.9% 13.7% 13.7% 12.9% 14.0% 12.4% 10.4% 7.1% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.